Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 109.040586 120.945608 133.223721 146.805314 161.380169 176.524083 193.421239
2024-10-13 90.012243 107.536810 126.567656 148.650409 173.447936 200.315484 231.505202
2024-10-20 73.125419 93.984128 117.791787 146.677291 180.469895 218.452158 264.060764
2024-10-27 60.455209 83.408038 110.876961 145.602930 187.744904 236.651874 297.094601
2024-11-03 53.150960 78.189109 109.442144 150.378558 201.612641 262.656610 339.871869
2024-11-10 46.603766 72.971463 107.235887 153.623732 213.332562 286.164705 380.189048
2024-11-17 41.475197 68.895266 105.889026 157.498382 225.608716 310.414360 421.839182
2024-11-24 37.502135 65.864471 105.484617 162.284093 238.930151 336.099604 465.728777
2024-12-01 31.031046 58.335005 98.103705 156.965801 238.453675 343.892275 486.970516
2024-12-08 26.431222 53.013081 93.272446 154.622240 241.521042 356.002040 513.671957
2024-12-15 23.433828 49.836009 91.235986 155.941950 249.405315 374.416290 548.732275
2024-12-22 21.068252 47.388924 90.033544 158.261964 258.582644 394.607681 586.383894
2024-12-29 19.659769 46.512397 91.301062 164.436071 273.629868 423.414683 636.565292
2025-01-05 17.868886 44.710296 90.922955 168.052346 285.091863 447.605406 681.121474
2025-01-12 15.419967 41.301140 87.581607 166.829081 289.354115 461.866407 712.485603
2025-01-19 13.382951 38.377537 84.769998 166.193634 294.337135 477.127930 745.403866
2025-01-26 12.498710 37.718074 85.827760 171.782442 308.778321 506.003903 797.544538
2025-02-02 11.449209 36.533864 85.819777 175.554672 320.485197 531.142466 844.852651
2025-02-09 10.585534 35.627570 86.214650 179.943384 333.174975 557.846192 894.673318
2025-02-16 9.910884 35.060154 87.178678 185.289228 347.444956 587.055699 948.421373
2025-02-23 8.115180 31.391491 81.846262 179.462290 343.831144 589.922307 964.783007
2025-03-02 6.879675 28.880812 78.525018 176.897950 345.214790 600.050484 991.519198
2025-03-09 6.140752 27.571410 77.515316 178.368323 353.096136 619.934976 1032.507802